출처#1. www.csis.org/analysis/us-competition-china-and-russia-crisis-driven-need-change-us-strategy
출처#2. www.csis.org/analysis/chronology-possible-chinese-gray-area-and-hybrid-warfare-operations
출처#3. www.csis.org/analysis/chronology-possible-russian-gray-area-and-hybrid-warfare-operations
ㅇ U.S. Competition with China and Russia: The Crisis-Driven Need to Change U.S. Strategy
ㅡ The new National Security Strategy (NSS) issued on December 18, 2017,
called for the United States to focus on competition with China and Russia
in order to focus on the potential military threat they posed to the United States.
ㅡ This focus on high levels of direct conflict with China and Russia is a fundamental
misreading of the challenges the U.S. actually faces from Chinese and Russian competition
as well as a misinterpretation of their strategy and capabilities.
It ignores the fact that China and Russia recognize that major wars between them and the United States
can end in doing so much damage to both sides
that they become the equivalent of “mutual assured destruction” (MAD).
ㅡ This “worst case” war approach to U.S. strategy also ignores the fact
that China and Russia have already found ways to compete effectively
using gray area and hybrid operations, which rely on non-military political and economic competition
– or that can involve both military and civil forms of “warfare.”
ㅡ China and Russia’s dual focus on military and civil competition had a critical impact
long before the Coronavirus created today’s massive uncertainties in global economics.
These crises make understanding gray area and hybrid operations,
and the civil as well as the military dimensions of competition, even more critical now.
ㅡ U.S. must refocus its military strategy and forces to give gray area and hybrid conflicts
at least the same or even more priority as it does to higher levels of warfare.
Above all, the United States needs to refocus its national security strategy
to address key global developments at a national and regional level,
and it needs to integrate its military strategy and operations
with its political and economic strategy operations.
ㅡ Whether one calls the end result competition or civil-military “warfare,”
the true meaning of “joint” and “multi-domain” has now become the need to
integrate military and civil operations in every major region where the U.S. competes
with China and Russia and in every relevant aspect of politics, technology, and trade.
ㅡ China and Russia have already recognized these needs and are now competing
with the United States at the civil level with “gray area” tactics or indirect uses of force,
in low intensity military operations involving third countries and non-state actors,
and in deterring and fighting at higher levels of conflict.
Where possible, China and Russia use their military power in what might be called
“wars of influence” and in ways that do not involve actual fighting.
정리 중.
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